New Delhi: On the third anniversary of the ongoing war between Ukraine and Russia, a shocking revelation has come to light. Confidential documents from Ukraine’s intelligence agency GUR (Main Intelligence Directorate) suggest that Kyiv is planning to ignite a new conflict between Azerbaijan and Armenia to increase pressure on Russia.
According to these documents obtained by TV9 Bharatvarsh correspondent Manish Jha, Ukraine believes that if Azerbaijan and Armenia engage in a war over the Zangezur Corridor, Russia will be forced to divide its military strength, thereby giving Ukraine a strategic advantage in the war.
How Was Ukraine’s Plan Exposed?
This intelligence report was leaked by certain European sources and provides detailed insights into Azerbaijan’s planned military action on the Zangezur Corridor with Turkey’s backing. Ukrainian officials believe that if war erupts in this region, Russia will have to withdraw a significant portion of its troops from the Ukrainian front and redeploy them to the South Caucasus.
Zangezur Corridor: A New War Zone
The Zangezur Corridor is a 40-kilometer-long transit route passing through Armenia’s Syunik region, which Azerbaijan wants to use toconnect its mainland with Nakhchivan. Since the 2020 Nagorno-Karabakh war, this region has remained a hotspot for tensions.
Ukraine’s Strategy: A Conspiracy to Trap Russia on Two Fronts
According to intelligence documents, Ukrainian defense officials have listed potential benefits of this conflict, including:
A possible military confrontation between Azerbaijan and Armenia over the Zangezur Corridor.
Russia’s response—shifting its troops from the Ukrainian front to strengthen its 102nd Military Base in Gyumri, Armenia.
Ukraine’s interest in fueling this conflict to weaken Russia’s military capacity.
Although the Kyiv government has not officially acknowledged this strategy, the leaked report aligns with Ukraine’s broader plan to create instability in Russian-influenced regions.
Azerbaijan’s Military Preparations and Turkey’s Support
According to intelligence reports, Azerbaijan has accelerated its military preparations with Turkey’s assistance.
Over 40 combat drones, including Bayraktar TB2 and Akinci, have been deployed near the Armenian border.
Chinese-made JF-17C Block III fighter jets purchased from Pakistan may be used in combat for the first time.
Military facilities in Baku, Ganja, and Sumgait have been upgraded for rapid repairs and maintenance during wartime.
A joint military exercise with the Turkish Army was conducted in January 2025.
The report states that on January 25, Azerbaijan’s Ground Force Commander Hikmat Mirzoyev and Turkey’s Chief of General Staff Metin Gürak held a crucial meeting to discuss military operations on the Zangezur Corridor.
What If War Breaks Out?
If this conflict erupts, it could have severe global consequences:
1.Impact on Russia’s Military Strategy – Russia would need to increase its military presence in Armenia, weakening its position in Ukraine.
2.Instability in the Caucasus – A new war between Azerbaijan and Armenia could result in thousands of casualties and a major humanitarian crisis.
3.Tensions in Russia-Turkey Relations – If Turkey openly supports Azerbaijan, it could escalate tensions between Moscow and Ankara.
4.Ukraine’s Military Advantage – A divided Russian military could create weaknesses that Ukraine might exploit.
5.Western Intervention – The US and the European Union may step in diplomatically, affecting global power dynamics.
Trump’s Peace Initiative vs. Zelensky’s War Plans
While former US President Donald Trump is working on peace initiatives to end the Ukraine war, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky seems to be preparing to escalate the conflict by opening a new front against Russia.
Amid growing US-Russia diplomatic engagements and potential peace talks in Europe, this leaked report suggests that Ukraine is still working on strategies to further intensify the war.
